When a line doesn't make sense
Last night I was in need of a Bears +6 cover. It was the last leg of a 6 team parlay. When the line opened up last week, with Los Angeles -6.5, I immediately saw value in the bears, a 5-1 team, and in my head an overvalued Rams team sitting at 4-2. Sure the rams were home, but in what universe did the rams deserve to be 6 - 6.5 favorites of anybody, let alone a 5-1 team. In came some movement on the game, as it went to -5.5 as I figured would happened, and assumed this line would close maybe -3-3.5 with how I saw it. Then the line went to -6 again, and then -6.5. Hmm, what was going on that I did not know about? I pondered throughout the day and realized something was going on. I asked my friends questions. Then I heard on the radio, someone say this line just doesn't make sense. The only thing it probably means is the Rams win by double digits. Sure enough, that is exactly what happened. Rams win 24-10. Smart...